24/7 Wall Street
22 Sept 2026, 17:46 UTC · 1h ago
Verdict
Headline takes no side. We score TBT −0.30 across four claims — moderately bearish.
−0.30moderately bearish
More negative than 74% of ticker scores this week
What the story claims
4 claims · scored −1 bearish … +1 bullish · 0 new · 4 priced in
TD Securities expects Fed rate hikes in October and January, potentially pushing 20-year yields to 5.3%.
Priced inanalysis of market forecasts
So whatA move to 5.3% represents a 30bps increase from the 10-year's 5.0% peak, which would sharply compress TLT's price by the next print.
More positive than 92% of claims this week
Barclays forecasts a Federal Reserve rate hike will occur in December.
Continue reading
5 related stories
Scored by the NIS engine · methodology.
Top 2 movers · tap to explore
Priced inanalysis of market forecasts
So whatThis suggests a tightening cycle continuing into Q4, potentially increasing borrowing costs for corporate issuers before FY2027.
More positive than 76% of claims this week
The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate target upper bound to 4% on September 17.
Priced inevent occurred September 17
So whatThis 25bps increase from 3.75% establishes the current floor for short-term risk-free rates.
More positive than 62% of claims this week
TBT holders earned only 0.08% during the week of the September hike despite the correct directional call on rates.
Priced inanalysis of Sept 17-21 performance
So whatThe daily reset drag combined with a ~1% expense ratio makes the fund unsuitable for holdings beyond a few trading days.
More negative than 72% of claims this week
Which stocks this story touches
More negative than 74% of ticker scores this week
The article warns that daily reset drag can erode profits even when the macro direction is correct.
More negative than 71% of ticker scores this week
The article notes it failed to make the 'ten best stocks to buy' list.
Near neutral — 91% of ticker scores this week are stronger
Mentioned as a tool for duration management without a specific positive or negative outlook on the fund itself.
Free · No account
Get a free daily PDF briefing — the last 24 hours of news, with summaries and the market-impact score for each story, delivered an hour before the open.
We’ll watch
Pre-filled from this story — remove any you don’t want. Add more tickers & tags or fine-tune your watchlist anytime — every email has an edit link, no account needed.
Free forever · one email a day, max · unsubscribe in one click.How it works
+0.1%
Price flat so far
$38.63 vs $38.60 close before publication (Sep 21) · not market-adjusted
TBT chart →