SoftBank stock at risk of hitting ¥3k as OpenAI woes mount, Arm earnings loom

Impact · against what's priced in

The news is largely a confirmation of the bearish regime already reflected in Arm and Intel's prices. The primary new risk is the systemic valuation compression for SoftBank's wider AI portfolio, evidenced by OpenAI's funding miss and Perplexity's traffic decline.

ARM−0.10

Already priced in

The price assumes

The market has explicitly rejected the bull cases up to 152% above today and is only paying for the most conservative estimates