24/7 Wall Street
26 Jun 2026, 19:30 UTC · 1h ago
Microsoft Has Fallen 25% This Year: What Could Push MSFT Back to $500?
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
24/7 Wall Street
26 Jun 2026, 19:30 UTC · 1h ago
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
What the story claims
5 claims · each scored for market impact
Microsoft's AI revenue has reached a $37 billion annual run rate, representing a 123% year-over-year increase. — Strong revenue growth in the primary growth driver (AI) validates the business model and supports long-term valuation.
+0.80Microsoft's projected capital expenditures for calendar 2026 are guided at $190 billion, with Q3 FY2026 capex already up 84% year-over-year. — Massive increases in capital intensity can squeeze free cash flow and raise concerns about the diminishing returns of AI investment.
-0.60Reports suggest a potential delay of the OpenAI IPO into 2027, impacting Microsoft as a 27% stakeholder. — An IPO delay for a key AI bellwether creates uncertainty around valuation benchmarks and liquidity for Microsoft's investment.
-0.50Continue reading
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Azure revenue grew by 40% in constant currency last quarter, with Q4 FY2026 growth guided between 39% and 40%. — Consistent, high-level cloud growth demonstrates a stable enterprise demand and execution capability.
+0.40Rising memory costs are pressuring margins, forcing price hikes on products like Xbox consoles. — Input cost inflation directly reduces margins and may dampen consumer demand for hardware.
-0.30Which stocks this story touches
Despite strong AI revenue and a recent daily bounce, the stock is down 25% YTD due to memory cost inflation, high capex, and OpenAI IPO delays.
The company is facing surging memory costs, forcing it to raise prices on some products.
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Schwab Network
59m ago
