Bloomberg Markets and Finance
08 Oct 2026, 21:38 UTC · 1h ago
Longshots Losing 98% of Time Dominate Kalshi, Polymarket Trading
Impact · against what's priced in
The data indicates that retail behavior on prediction markets is heavily skewed toward high-risk 'lottery ticket' bets, which are currently losing money. While this drives high trading volume, it highlights a high-risk user profile that may be susceptible to rapid capital depletion.
Scored by the NIS engine · methodology.

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