The Motley Fool
30 Jun 2026, 18:30 UTC · 2h ago
Here Is How Much Upside SpaceX Stock Has Left After Its Post-IPO Sell-off
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
The Motley Fool
30 Jun 2026, 18:30 UTC · 2h ago
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
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5 claims · each scored for market impact
SpaceX is scheduled to be included in the Nasdaq-100 index on July 7. — Index inclusion forces passive funds to buy the stock, creating a strong technical floor and immediate buying pressure.
+0.60SpaceX faces lockup expirations starting in late July or early August and continuing through the end of the year. — Insiders and early investors cashing out typically creates significant downward pressure on the stock price due to increased supply.
-0.50The company is currently unprofitable as losses in its space and AI businesses offset profits from Starlink. — Lack of profitability makes a high valuation multiple riskier and increases the likelihood of dilutive capital raises.
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SpaceX is trading at approximately 116 times its trailing revenue and 22 times its projected 2028 revenue. — Extremely high valuation multiples leave the stock vulnerable to sharp corrections if growth targets are missed.
Analysts project SpaceX revenue to grow significantly, reaching $97.5 billion by 2028 driven by Starship, Starlink, and xAI. — Strong forecasted growth provides the fundamental justification for long-term holders, though it is already priced in.
+0.30Which stocks this story touches
Despite long-term growth potential, the stock faces headwinds from a high valuation, unprofitability, and upcoming lockup expirations.
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