CNBC
29 Sept 2026, 14:36 UTC · 1h ago
Verdict
Headline takes no side. Five claims average −0.50 — moderately bearish.
−0.50moderately bearish
More negative than 90% of claims this week
Scored by the NIS engine · methodology.
What the story claims
5 claims · scored −1 bearish … +1 bullish · 4 new · 1 priced in
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index tumbled 6.7 points to 81.9, missing the Dow Jones consensus forecast of 89.
Newreported Tuesday
So whatThe 7.1-point miss against consensus suggests a sharper-than-expected hit to Q4 discretionary spending estimates.
More negative than 98% of claims this week
August job openings fell by 256,000 to 7.08 million, underperforming the Wall Street consensus of 7.2 million.
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Newreported Tuesday
So whatThe 120,000 gap versus consensus indicates labor market softening that could pressure EPS for staffing and professional service firms.
More negative than 94% of claims this week
Average inflation expectations rose 0.3 percentage points from August to 6.1%.
Newreported Tuesday
So whatSticky expectations above 6% may force the Fed to keep rates higher for longer, increasing borrowing costs through FY2027.
More negative than 90% of claims this week
The labor market barometer of 'plentiful' vs 'hard to get' jobs eroded by 2.5 percentage points to 1.7%.
Newreported Tuesday
So whatA reading nearing 0% typically precedes a rise in official unemployment claims within the next 1-3 months.
More negative than 85% of claims this week
The University of Michigan's consumer survey showed sentiment fell 7% in September to its second-lowest reading on record.
Priced inanalysis of similar surveys
So whatConsistent deterioration across multiple datasets reinforces a bearish trend for the retail sector's holiday guidance.
More negative than 76% of claims this week
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