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28 Jul 2026, 14:52 UTC · 1h ago
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
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5 claims · each scored for market impact
SpaceX shares have collapsed nearly 50% from their post-IPO high, erasing over $1.2 trillion in market value. — A trillion-dollar wipeout in a short period indicates severe institutional selling and a collapse in investor confidence.
-0.90Prediction markets assign only a 4% probability of SPCX recovering above $150 by month-end. — Extremely low crowdsourced probability suggests a strong bearish consensus and lack of near-term catalysts for recovery.
-0.70Bernstein SocGen analyst Douglas Harned maintained an Outperform rating and a $239 price target for SPCX. — A high-conviction price target implying 110% upside provides a fundamental bull case against the prevailing momentum.
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The 13th Starship test flight successfully deployed 20 Starlink satellites but failed to land the V3 booster. — While the payload was successful, the failure to prove V3 booster reuse—a key valuation driver—maintains technical uncertainty.
China successfully landed a Long March 10B rocket booster six months ahead of expectations. — Accelerated progress by a geopolitical competitor increases long-term risk to SpaceX's market dominance.
-0.20Which stocks this story touches
Shares have collapsed nearly 50% from post-IPO highs, erasing over $1.2 trillion in market value despite a positive analyst rating.
Mentioned only as a historical reference for an analyst's track record.
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