Zacks Investment Research
29 Sept 2026, 22:50 UTC · 1h ago
Verdict
Headline leans bearish. We score ARCC −0.20 across four claims.
Score confirms the headline.
Leans bearish
From its wording — no explicit rating
−0.20slightly bearish
What the story claims
4 claims · scored −1 bearish … +1 bullish · 0 new · 4 priced in
Ares Capital is predicted to post an EPS of $0.48 for the upcoming quarter, a 4% decline year-over-year.
Priced inconsensus estimate mentioned in analysis piece
So whatA miss on this $0.48 estimate during the next print could trigger a valuation compression toward the industry average P/E of 7.78.
More negative than 76% of claims this week
Full-year analysts' expectations for Ares Capital are earnings of $1.91 per share and revenue of $3.1 billion.
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More negative than 62% of ticker scores this week
Scored by the NIS engine · methodology.
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Priced inconsensus estimates
So whatThe projected -4.98% decline in annual EPS suggests a downward trend in profitability for FY2026.
More negative than 68% of claims this week
Consensus estimates project quarterly revenue of $780.31 million, reflecting a 0.22% decrease from the equivalent quarter last year.
Priced inconsensus estimate mentioned in analysis piece
So whatFlat revenue growth combined with a 4% EPS drop indicates a contraction in net margins for the quarter.
More negative than 62% of claims this week
Ares Capital has a Forward P/E ratio of 10.04, which is a premium compared to its industry average of 7.78.
Priced invaluation analysis
So whatThe stock trades at a ~29% premium to its peers, leaving it vulnerable to price corrections if earnings decline.
More negative than 62% of claims this week
Which stocks this story touches
More negative than 62% of ticker scores this week
The company is facing a predicted decline in EPS and revenue compared to the previous year.
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ARCC hasn't traded since this ran. Last close $19.36 (Sep 29); the reaction starts at the next open.
ARCC chart →