24/7 Wall Street
09 Jun 2026, 13:30 UTC · 2h ago
Federal Reserve Policy Risks AI-Fueled Stock Bubble, Wall Street Warns
24/7 Wall Street
09 Jun 2026, 13:30 UTC · 2h ago
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4 claims · impact-rated
AI demand is driving near-term inflation through surging electricity and chip costs, which the Federal Reserve may be underestimating. — Underestimated inflation leads to 'higher-for-longer' interest rates, which typically depresses equity valuations and risk appetite.
-0.70Current AI-driven market conditions are described as an 'earnings bubble' where investors assume profit growth rates can continue indefinitely. — An earnings bubble suggests that valuations are detached from sustainable fundamentals, increasing the risk of a sharp correction.
-0.60A potential AI capital spending bust could occur if returns on the trillions of dollars in infrastructure investments fall short of expectations. — A spending bust would directly crash the valuations of semiconductor suppliers and data center operators, the primary drivers of the current rally.
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BCA Research's MacroQuant model indicates that while stocks are overbought, they have not yet reached levels associated with an imminent bear market. — This provides a short-term cushion for bulls, suggesting the rally may persist despite fundamental warnings.
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Model heads
The article warns that a potential AI capital spending bust would specifically hurt semiconductor suppliers.
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